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老笨狼 乱弹股 » 大市: 场外资金陆续进场,空头未死，多头未止
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o How searchsearchsearch银, should be treated the same, that is why we need 模拟盘. Practically, (1) we are humanbeing, psychological weakness is inevitable; (2) we may have social responsibility, that forces you to follow different rule other than 模拟盘. (3) this is not a suitable reason for mis-judgement of market direction.
Best Wishes)
For most points, I agree with you.
But for me, I only follow Mr.DOW since I only trade some US stocks which are following Mr.DOW. I don’t touch anything else even if it looks like high profitable potientially.
I love Mr.DOW, I follow Mr.DOW, and I enjoy doing this.
That’s the NUMBER ONE rule for me to play in this game! I don’t care about anything else in the life long journey of trading.
And that’s enough for me.
I just said I mean in short term trend, that is next week movement. You are right about wave 3-3 is storng , very long term, perhaps move in many small wave, 9wave or 13small wave. It is possible.
Thanks, DanDon and 股海方舟, for your comment.
Every tactics has its value to exist. “Anything that EXISTS ARE RATIOANAL”,”凡存在皆是合理的”- 黑格尔. So, I have no objection for different approach. Anyway, we got to be one of the best in that sector to survive and prosperous in the market.
中幅震荡上行or密集微小波, We don’t know, and “LET MKT tell us, not we tell MKT”.
My e-mail address is old_fool_wolf@yahoo.ca
May be we can have a cup of coffee and some chit-chat together. Up to you.
Best Wishes
Next week, after my study for world’s many index, include european, DAX, CAC , FTSE , Braizal, India, Hongkong, TSX, Dow. Nasdaqe index, I conclude: it is big possible that the markets will move 4th wave correction -down starting next week in short term- may take two or three weeks to move downturn. For Middle term the markets still are in up trend. This is just my view of point.
Re-DanDon:
About your opinion, “next week in short term- may take two or three weeks to move downturn”? IMHO - May be, may be not. And more likely, not.
1). Whatever will happen for Greece, HAVE been fully discounted on market.
2). Friday’s “high-close” is rarely seen in last several months! It is a confidence vote for next week (后市看好，周五高收)
3) As long as market is not in a crisis, or better - as you mentioned “For Middle term the markets still are in up trend.”, most of people will follow Baffett’s idea -
“第一、世界还会很不确定，但我还会坚定持股优秀公司。”
“第二、股市还将会大幅波动，我会利用股市过度反应低价买入好公司。”
(Refer to: my previous blog on 12/26/2011 - 巴菲特2012年五大预言)
4) Money keep coming into this market (Pension, RRSP, 空转多,…)
5) 版块轮动 热点轮动 使Index平滑化. Wave 3-(4) 淡化, may form 单边牛市－密集微小波。Until, 获利盘太多，利多因素 are fully discounted, and 热钱出市.
I feel sad and pity for “shorter”. 踏空主上升波，不是一大挫折是什么？还要鸭子死了嘴壳硬( this is not for you, please understand)
In a word, -
“So, 顺势而行吧，IF WE WANT SURVIVE IN THE MARKET.”
As a 百战之余的老笨兵，in the last 17y in CANADA market, especially in 创业版, I 已见过三轮大浪淘沙, every time, 70-90% of NEW COMERS are killed as a ring in the food chain, or run away if they were not involved too deep. THAT IS THE LIFE.
APPRECIATE YOUR IN-DEPTH STUDY.
THANKS, and BEST WISHES TO YOU!